Return to Indicators and Predictors of Absenteeism

Student Attendance Early Indicators 

 (SAE  Indicators)

Early detection of attendance patterns by school staff through the SAE Indicators can prevent chronic absenteeism and change a trajectory of poor school attendance.  Early interventions by a caring adult are enhanced by Attending to Student Absenteeism:TWO by TEN (ATSA: TWO by TEN) where there is a moderate level of concern.  Where there is a high level of concern detected, the  SAE Indicators will signal the  need for internal school resources and support.  Where there is an extreme level of concern detected, schools will need to engage and mobilize multi-agency community responses.  A school staff  can use the SAE Indicators starting with any variable and then proceed to the other  variables.  For example, a school staff could notice a lot of tardiness and then look at other behaviours, absenteeism, mobility, health and achievement to determine the level of concern.

VariableIndicatorsQuestionResponse OptionsWeightingScore
MobilityStudent transition or student is new to schoolHas the student attended the current school for at least a year or more?Yes                                    
No, new to this school      
0 1
Previous history of absenteeismChronic absenteeism (>10%)What was the student’s  attendance rate in the past year?90 – 100% or <20 days absent per year (Tier1)           80%-90% or 20 to 40 days  absent per year   (Tier 2)                           
80% or more that 40 days per year  (Tier 3)                            
0 1 2
BehavioursTardinessWhat was the student’s  tardiness rate in the past year?Less than 20 lates/yr (Tier1)          
20  to 40 lates per year   (Tier 2)                            more that 40 lates per year  (Tier 3)                            
0 .5 1
Incident reportsHow often in the past year has the student had incident reports for behaviours?0 – 1 times                         
2 – 3 times                          More than 3 times                             
0 .5 1
SuspensionsHow often has the student been suspended in the past year?0 – 1 time                          2 – 3 times                          More than 3 times                             0 .5 1
Student AchievementLiteracyHave the student’s English marks been declining or failing?No                                      Yes                                    0 1
NumeracyHave the student’s Math marks been declining or failing?No                                      Yes                                   0 1
HealthPhysical health        (e.g. asthma, dental, sleep)What best describes the student’s physical health?consistency healthy            usually healthy                   occasionally healthy           always unhealthy               0 .5 1 2
Suspected Mental Health   *To what extent do you suspect a mental health concern for the student?no concern                          sometimes concerned       often concerned                 always concerned              0 .5 1 2
Suspected trauma **To what extent do you suspect that the  student  has experienced trauma?no concern                          sometimes concerned       often concerned                 always concerned and diagnosed ACEs                0 .5 .5 1
Suspected Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs)  ***To what extent do you suspect that the  student  has experienced  ACEs?no concern                          sometimes concerned       often concerned                 always concerned and diagnosed ACEs                0 .5 .5 1
ScoreSolution LevelSuggested action


Score of 0 – 5 Moderate concernATSA:TWO by TENAttending To Student Absenteeism: TWO by TEN (ATSA:TWO by TEN) will develop connections to a caring adult and strengthen protective factors.
Score of 6 – 9
High concern
ATSA:TWO by TEN plus school board resource Help student engage with school board resource through ATSA:TWO by TEN in order to provide additional support along with connections to a caring adult
Score of 10-14
Extreme concern
Multi-agency action requiredCollaboration with multiple community agencies will support and direct the protective factors  for the student.  While ATSA:TWO by TEN can be helpful, the complexity of the situation requires more than what a school board can provide on its own.

*Suspected Mental Health 

If any one of the following statements is true for a student, there may be a suspected mental health concern:

  1. Same age peers do not exhibit similar behaviours
  2. Disproportion Intensity and frequency of behaviours (happen often, not match the situation, seems sad for long periods of time, worries about making mistakes, avoids certain situations)
  3. Disruption – level of interference with activities of daily living – does it prevent them from doing things they enjoy (no longer doing art, quit hockey, peers not including in play)
  4. Duration – does not disappear over time as expected
  5. Distress – unexpected level of distress                                                                                                                                                  

** Trauma “ is an emotional response to a terrible event like an accident, rape, or natural disaster. Immediately after the event, shock and denial are typical. Longer term reactions include unpredictable emotions, flashbacks, strained relationships, and even physical symptoms like headaches or nausea.”(American Psychological Association)

*** Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs)  The 3 types of ACEs include:

Abuse – physical, emotional, sexual

Neglect – physical, emotional

Household Dysfunction- mental illness, mother treated violently, divorce, incarcerated relatives, substance abuse

Rationale Descriptions for SAE Indicators
The following table provides rationale for each variable. The rationale is based upon findings from the literature as well as consultation/findings from education professionals.
IndicatorRationaleSupportNotes
Mobility school transitions (particularly SK)Mobility is  correlated with absenteeismSmith, Ashley A (2019)  Ehrlich, Stacy B (2014) Attendance Works, Healthy Schools Campaign (2015), Miller, Luke C. & Amanda Johnson (2016)students in foster care have high mobility and often high chronic absenteeism
History of absenteeism Chronic absenteeism History of absenteeism is correlated with future absenteeism ratesBaltimore Education Research Consortium(2011), Ehrlich, Stacy B (2014)Chronic absenteeism of 20 days or more per year is early indictor of non-graduation and future absenteeism
Behaviours TardinessBehaviours are correlated with absenteeismRomero, Maria Jose(2011) ,Gottfried, Michael A.(2011), Quarles, Daniel (2011)Students tardy 2 days or more per month in SK and Grade 1 are 10x more likely to be chronically absent and widens achievement gaps
Behaviours    office referrals, suspensionsSuspensions are correlated with absenteeismWest, Thomas C (2013), Brown, Robert S. et al (2020)ABCs of early warning indicators – Attendance Behavior Course failure; 1 suspension in grade school predictor of no post secondary education
Achievement Literacy & NumeracyAchievement is correlated with absenteeismCalifornia School Boards Association (2010), Baltimore Education Research Consortium(2011), Ehrlich, Stacy B (2014),Absenteeism  impacts  student achievement
Physical Health asthma, dentalPhysical health is correlated with absenteeismRobert Wood Johnson Foundation (2016),  Lindsey & Benjamin Zablotsky (2018) Allison, Mandy M & Elliott Attisha,(2019)Absenteeism impacts health for life time.  Developmental disabilities increases  chronic absenteeism.
Mental Health trauma, well being/wellnessMental health is correlated with absenteeismAmerican Academy of Pediatricians 2019, Black, Lindsey I. & Benjamin Zablotsky (2018), Australian Children Foundation (2010)School related anxiety can cause school avoidance and absenteeism. Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs) correlated to absenteeism

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