Return to Indicators and Predictors of Absenteeism

Graduation predictors

Predictors of Educational Attainment in the Chicago
Longitudinal Study
The strongest predictors of educational attainment were

  • maternal educational attainment,
  • school absences
  • mobility,
  • grade retention, and
  • youth’s educational expectations.
  • Findings indicate that students’ expectation and school mobility are targets of intervention that can promote children’s educational persistence.

Destination Graduation: Sixth Grade Early Warning Indicators for Baltimore City Schools Their Prevalence and Impact The report “identified the following early warning indicators of non-graduation for sixth graders:
• Chronic absence (defined as missing 20 or more days of school),
• Failing English, or math, or both and/or a failing average for English, math,
science, and social studies,
• Being at least one year overage (suggesting an earlier retention), and
• Being suspended for three or more days.”

Many of the risk and predictive factors for graduation hold true for absenteeism too.